If you choose synchronous detection, then you can simplify solution. Then you may want to choose LEDs as narrow angled as you can withing any part of visible spectrum.
Synchronous detection is the way to detect a signal which may be lower than background noise. Imagine taking shot with camera before LEDs are up. Then turn LEDs on and take another picture with exactly same conditions. Subtract arrays of pixel values of 2 frames from each other and look at the remainder. It will contain perfect difference of what was lit by LEDs. In your setup the DIFF picture will contain exactly retroreflectors (cataphote) only. Because the rest of the scenery got no significant increase in brightness.
While you debug the solution it will be obvious that power of LEDs can be reduced to some very low level, but only experiments will tell. I estimate that you will not need any super-powerful diodes. Some ordinary white LEDs with very acurate lens will do.
Various ways you could do this, here's a few:
If you have access to the power lines of the disk, then (assuming it's not high voltage) tap a line from those to the Arduino input. If the supply is higher than 5V, use a voltage divider to lower the signal as necessary. Arduino would need to share ground with the disk supply.
If it's high power, a hall current sensor or current transformer could be used to isolate the Arduino. You could also put a small magnet on the disk to use with a hall sensor.
If you don't have access to the disk power source, then you could use a black/white pattern and reflection sensor (example) or if the disc has holes an IR LED on one side and photodiode/phototransistor on the other (you would need an opamp for the photodiode option). Apply output signal of phototransistor/diode /reflection sensor to an Arduino input and look for changes on it.
Note that you don't actually need an Arduino (or any microcontroller) to do this, you could just use the sensors output with a simple transistor + LED circuit (if the sensor is one with a pulse output such as the optical detection would be, then as long as the disk is spinning fast enough, the LED will appear to be continuously on due to POV. If it's slow the LED will flash - if you want it to be continuous then you would need to low pass filter the signal)
Example Circuits
Okay, no information has arrived about the setup, so here are a couple of the most basic ways of doing this based on the disk supply option. I have assumed a +12V supply for the disk, and the Arduino is running from +5V:
Arduino Signal Option:
The above circuit could probably be used for between a +5V and +40V disk supply with any general purpose NPN. The signal is inverted, so the Arduino needs to adjust for this in software.
We could have used the most basic option of just a voltage divider, but the transistor offers some protection to the Arduino input from transients or surges on the disk supply. A 5V zener could be added to the input side also (for either option)
Simulation:
However, why do we need the Arduino when we can just do something like this:
If we just reduce the base resistor to allow for the LED current requirements, then we can light an LED directly. The above circuit uses around 15mA for the LED (most typical 5mm LEDs have a max of 20mA) which is fine for an indicator - anywhere between 5mA and 20mA should be adequate indoors.
Assuming a conservative gain of 50, the base resistors current is calculated using:
(12V - 0.7) / (15mA / 50) = 37.6kΩ
47k is a typical value in the ballpark, which adds a little less base current, but unless you are using a power transistor with a terrible current gain this is not an issue (even though gain drops at saturation, the Vce will be very small)
Simulation:
Best Answer
I can't see an IR remote LED on my iPhone, so I'm not sure the phone camera means much.
If the LED has current going through it (measure the voltage across the series resistor) and the voltage across it is normal, it's virtually surely emitting light.
If the voltage across the LED is significantly less than expected for the current, the LED is fried. Some LEDs have more than one "fried" mode (sort of like medium-rare and well-done).
If the LED is drawing no current and thus has the supply voltage across it, it's either been severely damaged or is connected backwards. Curve from the datasheet here: